DC Field | Value |
---|---|
dc.contributor.author | 이삼식 |
dc.contributor.author | 전영준 |
dc.contributor.author | 신화연 |
dc.contributor.author | 최효진 |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-01-17 |
dc.date.available | 2012-01-17 |
dc.date.issued | 2011 |
dc.identifier.isbn | 978-89-8187-808-5 |
dc.identifier.uri | https://repository.kihasa.re.kr/handle/201002/7725 |
dc.description.abstract | ◈ 저출산ㆍ고령화에 따른 이민정책의 필요성 ◈ 세계의 저출산ㆍ고령화 추이와 이민정책의 현황 ◈ 우리나라 이민정책과 이민 실태 ◈ 우리나라 저출산고령화 전망 ◈ 저출산고령화 수준에 따른 이민수요 전망 ◈ 저출산고령화 추이에 따른 이민정책 방안 |
dc.description.abstract | This study aimed at analyzing the impact of foreigners including laborers and immigrants in demographic and socio-economical aspects. In doing so, applied were several methods such as population projection, general equilibrium model, projection of national pension, and sample survey on conflicts between foreigners and natives. The main findings are as follows; Firstly, the demographic impact of foreigners' inflow is related to population decline and population ageing. The population projection revealed that the increase in the inflow of foreigners would alleviate the speed of depopulation, accounting for 9.2 percent of total population at the medium variant assumption of international migration and 12.8 percent at the high variant and 5.6 percent at the low variant, respectively as of 2050. The population ageing would be also alleviated along with increase of foreigners. The proportion of the elderly people, aged 65 or older, to the total population will be 36.5 percent at the medium variant of international migration, 37.4 percent at the low variant, 35.7 percent at the high variant in 2050. However, such differences in population ageing between international migration assumptions can be deemed small, especially compared to 34.0 percent under the assumption that TFR will reach the replacement level up to 2040. Secondly, the foreigners' influx will contribute to economic growth through increase in GDP and per capita GDP in the long run. However, it can be realistic if the labor productivity of the foreigners are not too low. The increase in foreigners' influx appears to be less contributive to economic growth than the increase of fertility to the replacement level in 2040. Thirdly, as the number of foreigners increases, the depletion of national pension fund will be delayed by one year, lowering the premium rate, under the different assumptions on international migration. In the long run, the increase in fertility level will be, however, more contributive to financial stabilization of national pension scheme. The social conflicts due to the increase in foreigners' influx may take place in the future; emotional conflicts, cultural conflicts, and resource-competition conflicts in that order. In conclusion, the trends in scale and characteristics of foreigners and their impact on the Korean society should be taken into deep considerations in establishing the population policy, especially the policies against low fertility and population ageing. |
dc.description.tableOfContents | Abstract 1 요약 3 제1장 서론 13 제1절 연구 배경 및 목적 13 제2절 연구내용 16 제3절 연구방법 18 제2장 선행연구 고찰 25 제1절 외국인 개념과 범주 25 제2절 외국인 유입의 영향 실증사례 27 제3장 외국인 국내유입 실태 53 제1절 외국인 및 이민 정책 53 제2절 외국인 유입 현황 62 제4장 외국인 유입의 인구학적 파급효과 77 제1절 외국인‧이민자 추계 77 제2절 인구규모에 대한 외국인 유입 영향 92 제3절 인구구조에 대한 외국인 유입 영향 106 제4절 소결 110 제5장 외국인 유입의 경제적 파급효과 116 제1절 기본전제 116 제2절 모형 설정 119 제3절 모형 캘리브레이션 130 제4절 국제이동 시뮬레이션 134 제5절 소결 153 제6장 외국인 유입의 사회적 파급효과 157 제1절 외국인 유입이 사회보장에 미치는 영향 157 제2절 외국인 유입이 사회통합에 미치는 영향 177 제3절 소결 185 제7장 결론 및 정책적 제언 191 참고문헌 197 부 록 209 부록 1. 출입국관리법 시행령 제12조 및 별표 1 209 부록 2.「외국인유입에 대한 국민인식조사」조사표 212 부록 3.「외국인유입에 대한 국민인식조사」주요 결과 216 |
dc.format | application/pdf |
dc.language | kor |
dc.publisher | 한국보건사회연구원 |
dc.publisher | Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs |
dc.rights | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.0 Korea (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 KR) |
dc.rights | KOGL BY-NC-ND |
dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/kr/ |
dc.rights.uri | http://www.kogl.or.kr/info/licenseType4.do |
dc.title | 저출산·고령사회에서 외국인 유입의 파급효과 분석 |
dc.title.alternative | Analysis on Impact of Foreigners' Inflow in Society undergoing Low Fertility and Population Aging |
dc.type | Book |
dc.type.local | Report |
dc.subject.keyword | 저출산고령사회 |
dc.subject.keyword | 외국인 유입의 파급효과 |
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor | 신화연 |
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor | 이삼식 |
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor | 최효진 |
dc.type.other | 연구보고서 |
dc.identifier.localId | 연구보고서 2011-32 |
dc.identifier.localId | Research Monographs 2011-32 |
dc.subject.kihasa | 저출산대응 |
dc.subject.kihasa | 고령화대응 |
dc.subject.kihasa | 인구변화 |
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