Future Realization Gaps and Depression among Young Adults: Regional Differences in the Moderating Role of Social Networks

Abstract

This study explores depression among young adults by investigating the relationship between future realization gaps and social networks. We define the future realization gap as the perceived discrepancy between one’s current status and desired future aspirations. Using data from 14,966 participants aged 19 to 34 from the 2022 Youth Life Survey, we employed generalized linear models (GLM) to analyze how this gap affects depression and whether social networks moderate this relationship. Analyses were conducted separately for metropolitan and non-metropolitan residents. Results demonstrate that larger future realization gaps are significantly associated with higher depression levels in both regions. Although social networks did not show a direct effect on depression, significant interaction effects emerged. In metropolitan areas, social networks moderated the relationship between parental educational achievement gaps and depression. In non-metropolitan areas, social networks buffered the effects of both parental economic status gaps and individual’s educational achievement gaps on depression. These findings suggest that social networks serve as protective factors that mitigate the adverse mental health consequences of perceived resource deficits. However, the mechanisms vary by regions, highlighting the need for location-specific interventions to support young adults’ mental health.