Central-Local Relations
; Cash Transfer Program Effectiveness
; Population Effect
; Childbirth Grants
; Farmer Subsidies
Publication Year
2023
Publisher
Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs
Abstract
This study seeks to assess the population impact of cash transfer policies, particularly childbirth grants and farmer’s basic income support scheme using Synthetic Control Methods (SCM). Childbirth grants are evaluated based on the number of births and the fertility rate of married women of reproductive age, while farmer’s basic income support is assessed in terms of the number of farmers. The analysis results indicated an increase in birth rate in Gangwon Province, Gwangju Metropolitan City, Daejeon Metropolitan City following the implementation of childbirth grants, while no significant effect was observed in other cities and provinces. Gangwon Province, Gwangju and Daejeon Metropolitan City show positive effects despite differences in support levels, with Gangwon Province experiencing sustained increases due to policy changes in subsequent years. However, if some provinces and local authorities exhibited increases in birth rates after the implementation of childbirth support grants, the effect was mostly short-term. The effect of childbirth support funds in local authority showed a similar trend. In local authority in small metropolitan areas where the amount of childbirth support allowance is small, the effect of such funds was found to be minimal. However, in medium-sized cities and rural areas, short-term effects were observed. In the case of farmer subsidies, initial increases are followed by subsequent decreases in the number of farmers, indicating limited long-term effectiveness.
Table Of Contents
Abstract 1 요약 3
제1장 서론 7 제1절 연구의 배경 및 목적 9 제2절 연구의 구성과 내용 13
제2장 제도 개요 및 선행연구 고찰 15 제1절 출산지원금의 제도 개요 17 제2절 농민수당의 제도 개요 29 제3절 지방자치단체 수당의 효과성 관련 선행연구 고찰 35 제4절 본 연구의 차별성 44
제3장 평가 모형 47 제1절 평가 설계 49 제2절 평가 모형 63
제4장 효과성 분석 83 제1절 출산지원금 효과성 분석 85 제2절 농민수당 효과성 분석 113 제3절 소결 118
제5장 정책대안 모색을 위한 해외 사례 연구 121 제1절 동아시아의 지방자치단체 출산지원금 123 제2절 유럽의 직불제: 재분배 성격의 직불을 중심으로 138 제3절 소결 157