The macro- and micro-level analysis of the effect of housing conditions on fertility

Abstract

저출산 현상과 관련하여 주거 문제는 젊은 세대의 결혼과 출산을 어렵게 하는 중요한 요인 중의 하나라고 인식되고 있지만 저출산 해소를 위한 정부의 주거분야 지원정책은 여전히 충분하지 못한 상황이다. 본 연구는 주택과 관련한 여러 요인들이 지역의 출산율과 개별가구의 출산의 결정에 어떻게 영향을 미치고 있는지를 거시적, 미시적 차원에서 실증적으로 규명하고 정책적 시사점을 도출하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다.

This study aims to empirically investigate factors related to housing that affect the birthrate of the regions and determine how these factors influence individual decisions to have children. The findings of this study is as follows. Both housing sale and leasing prices by region have a significant negative impact on its marriage rate and birthrate. The ratio of small and medium-sized housings (less than 60㎥) and the proportion of public rental housing have a significant positive impact on its marriage rate, although there is no significant effect on its birthrate. Furthermore, the decisions of newly married household to have children have been delayed if they have a higher burden of housing cost and live in a smaller size of housing (less than 15 pyeong). Meanwhile, their decision to have children have not been delayed if they have their own housing, which can further explain a statistically significance in terms of additional birth on for those who already have children. Accordingly, at both macro and micro levels, all these findings indicate that an understanding of the linkage between the level of housing prices and housing cost burdens can elucidate the potential impact on childbirth.