사회보장 중장기 재정추계 모형 개발을 위한 연구 - 장기재정전망과 재정평가

신화연; 이윤복; 손지훈

사회보장 중장기 재정추계 모형 개발을 위한 연구 - 장기재정전망과 재정평가 = Long-term Modelling for Financial Projections of Social Security

Full metadata record

DC Field	Value
dc.contributor.author	신화연
dc.contributor.author	이윤복
dc.contributor.author	손지훈
dc.date.accessioned	2016-10-20
dc.date.available	2016-10-20
dc.date.issued	2015
dc.identifier.isbn	978-89-6827-261-5
dc.identifier.uri	https://repository.kihasa.re.kr/handle/201002/16690
dc.description.abstract	최근 기초연금 도입 및 기초생활보장제도 개편, 의료비 부담 등 보건복지제도 확대에 대한 논쟁이 지속되고 있는데, 복지수요가 높아짐에 따라 정부의 역할로 논의가 확산되고 있으므로 중장기 재정전망에 기초한 정책대응 방안 마련 필요
dc.description.abstract	Korea has seen in recent years the maturity of its public pension plans grow and its childcare programs and basic old-age pension expand in coverage. No consensus has been reached in Korea with respect to how to fund the projected increases in social expenditure, thus analyses of the raised public burden resulting from these projected increases are limited. It will be necessary in the future to determine more acceptable levels of increase in the public burden based on a more comprehensive fiscal evaluation of the levels of social expenditure and public burden, and an effective analysis of various measures for increasing revenue, including increases in social insurance contribution and improved national fiscal management. Reviews and discussions on how to ensure the sustainability of the social security budget and improve related systems and institutions based on budget projection results are needed in Korea. The social projections in this study were made from a neutral perspective, intent on analyzing likely fiscal burdens attendant upon the declining birth rate, the aging population, and the consolidation of the pension system. The findings of this study will provide important basic data for making structural and parametric improvements to NHI and other social programs. Insofar as the current social security structure is retained in Korea, the amount of expenditure for old age benefits will increase dramatically due to the aging population and the consolidation of public pension programs. In order to ensure the fiscal sustainability of social expenditure and in consideration of public burden, it is crucial to launch a public discourse on social security programs and their future, informed by reliable and official governmental data. Policymakers in Korea will need to consider a broad array of factors in designing future social security programs, particularly taking into account the rapidly aging population and the acceptability of public burden increases.
dc.description.tableOfContents	Abstract 1 요 약 3 제1장 연구의 배경 및 목적 7 제2장 사회보장 재정추계 해외사례 13 제1절 EU 15 제2절 미국 62 제3절 일본 74 제3장 사회보장 재정추계모형 83 제1절 장기전망을 위한 전제 85 제2절 재정추계모형 개요 94 제3절 사회보험 103 제4절 일반재정지출 157 제4장 사회보장재정 장기전망 191 제1절 사회보장 재정전망(기본 시나리오) 193 제2절 시나리오별 재정전망 203 제5장 결론 및 향후과제 213 참고문헌 223 부 록 229
dc.format	text/plain
dc.language	kor
dc.publisher	한국보건사회연구원
dc.publisher	Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs
dc.rights	Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.0 Korea (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 KR)
dc.rights	KOGL BY-NC-ND
dc.rights.uri	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/kr/
dc.rights.uri	http://www.kogl.or.kr/info/licenseType4.do
dc.title	사회보장 중장기 재정추계 모형 개발을 위한 연구 - 장기재정전망과 재정평가
dc.title.alternative	Long-term Modelling for Financial Projections of Social Security
dc.type	Book
dc.type.local	Report
dc.subject.keyword	사회보장
dc.subject.keyword	재정추계
dc.subject.keyword	재정의 지속가능성
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor	신화연
dc.type.other	연구보고서
dc.identifier.localId	연구보고서 2015-18
dc.identifier.localId	Research Monographs 2015-18
dc.subject.kihasa	사회보장재정