평균수명 연장에 따른 자녀가치와 출산율 관계 연구

김은정; 김지연; 이성림; 김태헌; 조영태; 이지혜

평균수명 연장에 따른 자녀가치와 출산율 관계 연구 = A Study of the Relationship between Value of Children, Fertility, and Life Expectancy

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DC Field	Value
dc.contributor.author	김은정
dc.contributor.author	김지연
dc.contributor.author	이성림
dc.contributor.author	김태헌
dc.contributor.author	조영태
dc.contributor.author	이지혜
dc.date.accessioned	2011-03-11
dc.date.available	2011-03-11
dc.date.issued	2010
dc.identifier.isbn	978-89-8187-703-3
dc.identifier.uri	https://repository.kihasa.re.kr/handle/201002/6099
dc.description.abstract	◈ Becker의 출산 행태 관련 경제학적 이론 및 계량 모형고찰 ◈ 계량 모형을 이용하여 자녀 가치와 출산 행태 관계 분석 ◈ 분석 결과에 따른 출산률 제고 정책 방향 제시
dc.description.abstract	It is widely and explicitly known that increased lifespan and birthrate decline are the two causes of an aging population, and how an increase in life expectancy may affect fertility rate has become a question of growing interest. This research reviewed several existing economic theories―the human capital theory, the life-cycle saving theory, and the wealth flows theory, among them―and explored the relationship between the value of children, fertility, and life expectancy. Korea's lowest-low fertility situation was explained to some extent by the wealth flows theory. Also, using the World Bank's cross-national data of 194 countries, this study conducted linear regression analysis and path analysis to empirically look into the relationship between the factors of human capital investment, fertility, and life expectancy. Such a human capital investment indicator as secondary school enrollment rate for the previous generation was found to have a positive effect on the current generation's human capital investment, which supported the human capital theory. The path analysis results showed that average life span had a statistically significant, positive effect on school enrollment rate and gross savings rate. School enrollment rate was found to negatively affect fertility, while gross savings rate did not have a statistically significant effect. In addition to the cross-country data analysis, a telephone survey of 800 randomly selected married adults was conducted to examine the influence of increased life expectancy on the attitude toward saving, having children, and investing in human capital. The survey revealed that as life expectancy increased, people were more likely to invest in human capital and increase savings for future. The findings in this study imply that increases in life expectancy induce investments in education and reduce fertility rate. The strengthened norm of investment in education generally makes parents hesitant about having more children than they believe their resources can support. Parents have to choose between the quantify and quality of their offspring. To reverse the trend of low fertility would require policy measures to help reconceptualize the value of children and to reduce family expenditure on children's education.
dc.description.tableOfContents	제1장 서 론 제1절 연구배경 및 목적 제2절 연구내용 및 방법 제2장 출산관련 이론 고찰 제1절 생명사 이론(Life History Theory)과 출산율 제2절 인적자본이론과 저출산 제3절 생애주기이론(Life-cycle Model)과 저출산 제4절 세대 간 부의 이동 이론과 저출산 제5절 인구변천과정에서 사망과 출산 제3장 한국의 저출산 현상 고찰 제1절 세대 간 부의 이동과 저출산 제2절 평균수명 증가와 출산율 제3절 시사점 제4장 평균수명과 자녀가치, 출산율 관계 실증분석 제1절 평균수명과 출산율 관계 분석 제2절 자녀에 대한 가치관 분석 제5장 결론 및 정책제언 제1절 결론 115 제2절 정책제언 참고문헌 부 록
dc.format	text/plain
dc.language	kor
dc.publisher	한국보건사회연구원
dc.publisher	Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs
dc.rights	Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.0 Korea (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 KR)
dc.rights	KOGL BY-NC-ND
dc.rights.uri	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.0/kr/
dc.rights.uri	http://www.kogl.or.kr/info/licenseType4.do
dc.title	평균수명 연장에 따른 자녀가치와 출산율 관계 연구
dc.title.alternative	A Study of the Relationship between Value of Children, Fertility, and Life Expectancy
dc.type	Book
dc.type.local	Report
dc.subject.keyword	평균수명
dc.subject.keyword	자녀가치와 출산률
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor	김은정
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor	이지혜
dc.type.other	연구보고서
dc.identifier.localId	연구보고서 2010-30-5
dc.identifier.localId	Research Monographs 2010-30-5
dc.subject.kihasa	저출산대응
dc.subject.kihasa	인구변화
dc.subject.kihasa	가족변화