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Measuring fiscal sustainability in the welfare state: fiscal space as fiscal sustainability

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dc.contributor.author고혜진
dc.date.accessioned2020-02-07T04:46:54Z
dc.date.available2020-02-07T04:46:54Z
dc.date.issued2019-11-15
dc.identifier.issn1612-4804
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.kihasa.re.kr/handle/201002/33702
dc.description.abstractThis study measures the fiscal capacity of welfare states to derive parameters for a sustainable welfare state. To secure fiscal soundness, it is critical to maintain affordable welfare spending by ensuring public capacity. Adapting the concept of fiscal space, defined as the difference between the current level of public debt and the debt limit implied bythe country’s historicalrecordoffiscaladjustmentbyOstryetal. (2010) and Ghosh et al. (2011), this research measures and compares the fiscal sustainability of 17 welfare states. To derive this fiscal space, the debt limit of eachcountry is set, primarily based on the estimating of fiscal reaction function and selecting interest schedule (Ghosh et al. 2011, p. F13). We use a pooled-time-series-cross-sectional model to estimate fiscal reaction function and the vector regression model to set the interest schedule. It is found that Southern European welfare states are unsustainable if they do no immediately change their fiscal policies. Countries outside of Southern Europe are generally financially sustainable. However, the UK, the US, and France have in their recent actions exacerbated their financial sustainability. For their part, the social democratic states remain financially sound, despite high levels of welfare spending. This indicates that welfare spending does not necessarily weaken fiscal soundness, which depends on the type of welfare state.
dc.format.extent24
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.titleMeasuring fiscal sustainability in the welfare state: fiscal space as fiscal sustainability
dc.typeArticle
dc.type.localArticle(Academic)
dc.subject.keywordSustainability
dc.subject.keywordPublic finance
dc.subject.keywordFiscal space
dc.subject.keywordWelfare state
dc.contributor.affiliatedAuthor고혜진
dc.identifier.urlhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10368-019-00453-2
dc.identifier.localIdKIHASA-3055
dc.citation.titleInternational Economics and Economic Policy
dc.citation.date2019
dc.citation.startPage1
dc.citation.endPage24
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationInternational Economics and Economic Policy, pp. 1 - 24
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